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There was another, albeit smaller, factor in Donald Trump’s 2024 victory: New support from Native Americans. They make up only five percent of Arizona’s population but there are two counties in the northeastern corner of the state that are nearly half Native American. He more than doubled his margin of victory in Navajo County compared to 2020 while cutting into the Democrats’ edge in Apache County.

Navajo County includes the Hopi Reservation, with the Navajo Reservation encompassing much of the rest of the county, as well as next door Apache County. Apache is also home to the Fort Apache Reservation. They have a combined population of about 175,000 (by Comparison Maricopa’s is 4.4 million). But the results in each are telling.

In Apache, what had been a 34-point margin for Biden plummeted to 19 points for Harris. And in Navajo, Trump more than doubled his eight-point victory from 4 years ago, besting Harris by 17 points.

From Nate Silver on X